New York is really in some trouble right now. The team is just 7-19 in its last 26 meetings against the Braves as it is, and it is a club that has really limped to a 4-9 start this season. The offense has been serviceable at 4.85 runs per game, but when push comes to shove, the rotation has only accounted for three quality starts for the entire year, and the staff as a whole has an ERA of 5.62 and a WHIP of 1.64. Those numbers rank third to last and last respectively in baseball. There’s a reason that the Mets have helped MLB betting fans to a whopping 12-0-1 record for ‘overs’ this year. DJ Carrasco hasn’t had all that much to do with the ‘overs’ this year, as he has only pitched in relief on the season. Sure, he has allowed three runs in 6.2 innings of work, but by New York standards, that’s a fantastic job. Carrasco actually hasn’t started a game since he was with the Chicago White Sox back in 2009, and he has only made 23 starts out of his 250 appearances in his career.

Things aren’t all that great for the Braves either, as they haven’t won a series since taking two out of three against the Washington Nationals to open the year. Their offense has been absolutely horrendous all season long, accounting for just 3.31 runs per game, and that number is down to just 2.7 runs per game over their last 10. They’ve already been shut out twice and held to two runs or fewer seven times on the campaign, and the only men that are hitting above .237 this year are Martin Prado (.268), Chipper Jones (.304), and Brian McCann (.340). Derek Lowe probably has to wonder what he has to do to pick up some wins. He has only gotten two runs of support in three starts this season, and as a result, he is just 1-2. However, the rest of the splits for this righty are off the charts. He has a .224 opponents’ batting average, a 1.07 WHIP, a 1.45 ERA, and a 3/1 K/BB ratio. We don’t know what more Manager Fredi Gonzalez could ask for than that.

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The Braves are laying a lot of lumber in this game at -170, but we have to do it. Atlanta is a better squad, and especially at home, where things are bound to improve from a 2-4 record, we like its chances of beating the MLB odds in both games of this twin bill.