Sports Interaction betting analyst Frank Doyle looks ahead to Super Bowl XLVI!
Sports Interaction has made book on Super Bowl XLVI. New England and Green Bay are joint favorites at +700, Pittsburgh is +1000, San Diego +1200 and then it’s +1400 the field.
At first glance, Green Bay is value at +700 and New England isn’t. Both are blessed with two of the best quarterbacks in the League but Green Bay has a defense that can stop Tom Brady and the Patriots don’t have a defense that can stop Mark Sanchez. There’s the difference.
Pittsburgh will there or thereabouts. The Roethlisberger controversy has run its course and is over now, so if that was a factor last year it’s not now. Pittsburgh above any team plays in a very recognisable way, and has done since Chuck Noll was there in the 1970s.
They’ve tweaked as the game has evolved but the Pittsburgh way remains to protect the ball on offense and pound you into submission on defense. It’s worked so far, and there’s no reason to think it won’t deliver again this year.
San Diego’s shortish price is because of the quality of their quarterback. But football is a team game and Philip Rivers can’t carry a team on his own. The Chargers are a bad bet to do anything this year. In fact, in that division, I’d be keeping a close eye on Denver. The raw materials are there for John Fox to make something happen.
Denver wouldn’t be a good bet for the Super Bowl though.. That said, we are now in an era where teams can come from nowhere in a way that would be unimaginable when Dallas, San Francisco or Chuck Noll’s Steelers ruled the League. Look at the Saints and the Giants in recent years. Who’s a good bet to come from the pack and win it all?
Philly could, but they’re so reliant on Michael Vick staying healthy. Vick is at his best in his maturity but there’s a reason quarterbacks don’t play like he does and that’s because they get smashed up. There are people who will never forgive him and you can sympathize but it would be some story of redemption if Michael Vick had a fairytale ending.
The team I like as a longshot sleeper – and America’s Team is hardly ever referred to as a longshot or a sleeper by bookmakers – is Dallas. Dallas has been playing below its talent level for years. If Jason Garrett can make his team and quarterback take the game seriously, maybe the Cowboys will be the last men standing in Indianapolis next February.
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Posted by Jon Richards
on Jun 24 2011. Filed under NFL, Sports Picks, Sportsbook News.
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